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What to Follow in Pakistan’s Budget Amid COVID-19 Pandemic

What to Follow in Pakistan’s Budget Amid COVID-19 Pandemic

Pakistan’s annual budget is an opportunity for Prime Minister Imran Khan to revive his government’s spending preferences to support an economy degraded by one crisis after another.

The spending strategy for the year starting July 1, scheduled to be presented in Parliament Friday, will be a tricky balancing act of strengthening economic growth without diminishing the exchequers.

A year after getting a $6 billion International Monetary Fund credit to repel off a balance-of-payments crisis, Khan got himself seeking debt alleviation and another loan to combat the result of Covid-19. A locust-invasion that endangers 40% of the nation’s significant crops appeared as an added challenge for the economy where half of the workforce depends on agriculture for a living.

The hit to business activity from the disease has already propelled the economy to its first yearly recession in 68 years. The extent of economic damages will depend on the severity and span of Covid-19, the finance ministry stated in its yearly financial report issued Thursday.

What to Follow in Pakistan’s Budget Amid COVID-19 Pandemic
Data by: Pakistan government. Graphic Source: Bloomberg

Here’s a glance at what to follow in Khan’s budget:

Growth, Deficit

Khan’s administration is suspected of targeting an economic increase of about 2% next fiscal year after an expected 0.4% recession this year. The IMF foresees a precipitous 1.5% fall in the current fiscal period.

While steps to help the economy amid the virus pandemic will see the budget deficit extend to 9.2% of gross domestic product this year, the IMF’s loan program expects the government to slim the deficiency. That will view measures to decrease the deficit.

“Provided the uncertain economic forecast, we believe chances are skewed towards it being significantly broader,” stated Bilal Khan, senior economist at Standard Chartered Plc in Dubai. “Development of tax revenue gains may be short.”

What to Follow in Pakistan’s Budget Amid COVID-19 Pandemic
Pakistan reports a negative GDP growth rate of -0.40% for FY20 against a set target of 4.40%. Source: Capital Stake

Earnings, Spending

The government indicated at a tender tax administration, with Abdul Hafeez Shaikh, Khan’s finance adviser, stating the revenue target was “aspirational.” Still, it’s strange the administration will be hostile about achieving it.

Instead, the focus may be on increasing income from non-tax streams, such as the selling of state-owned assets.

Development expense — the funds used on mega projects — may be cut by to 630 billion rupees from 701 billion rupees designated in the current period, according to a remarks by the government’s planning commission.

Sectors that can produce jobs are possible to get support, besides agriculture and public health, Prime Minister Khan declared in a meeting on June 9

Exporters may be given stimulus, while the tax on raw materials imported is expected to be reduced, finance adviser Shaikh was referred as stating by the state-owned Associated Press of Pakistan.

Tags : Budget 2020businessCOVID-19EconomyFinancepakistan

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